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Posted by Sean

From Sebastian Fink (taking place in Rome, April 2026)

The Fuel of Conquest: Food, Logistics, and Power in the Ancient Near East and Classical Antiquity

Twenty-seventh Workshop of the Melammu Project
Rome
Accademia di Romania in Roma, Piazza Jose de San Matin 1
23-24 April 2026

Organisers: Iulia Dumitrache and Sebastian Fink

The provisioning of soldiers is a crucial component of military organisation. It has a significant impact on both the efficiency of operations and the outcomes of battles. Every expansion is based on logistical abilities, and before any attempt to conquer faraway lands, the supplies of the troops must be organised
For this colloquium, the dietary patterns, food sources, and logistical methods used to sustain armies in the Ancient Near East and the world of Classical Antiquity are under investigation. The distribution of food was an essential component in ensuring that soldiers maintained both their physical endurance and their morale.
There are two possible sources of supplies for an army. The army can carry its own supplies, using manpower, pack animals, carts, or boats, and it can rely on foraging for food. While in most cases, a combination of both options is the most plausible, the investigation of extreme cases, such as crossing desert regions, allows us to study the possibilities and limits of ancient logistics. Often, we can only deduce the logistical abilities of ancient armies from their successful campaigns. In some cases, we also have evidence for the organization of the supply lines and the distribution of food in the army.
The purpose of our meeting is to study in detail the logistics of ancient armies, to investigate the parallels and differences in food provisioning arrangements between different regions, with a particular focus on the sociopolitical, economic, and strategic aspects that influenced the logistics of ancient military operations. We aim to highlight how the efficient administration of food was not only essential for the survival of troops but also how it was a basis for the larger military and political objectives of ancient empires. This is demonstrated through the examination of historical documents (literary sources, official issues, papyri, inscriptions), archaeological data, and comparative military analysis.
Abstracts (200–500 words) should be submitted to iulia.dumitrache@uaic.ro; Sebastian.Fink@uibk.ac.at. The deadline for submission is 1st December 2025. Notifications will be sent by 15 December 2025.

The call for paper is available
here.

Further information will follow in due time.

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Posted by Curro Jimenez

In the information age, it is difficult to make sense of events. Endless amounts of information do not necessarily coalesce into a coherent narrative with explanatory meaning. The breakdown of the international order is precipitating the emergence of different narratives that engender competing truths. The German writer Goethe said: “When eras are on the decline, […]
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Posted by Cory Doctorow


Today's links



The classic Puck Magazine editorial cartoon entitled 'The King of All Commodities,' depicting John D Rockefeller as a man with grotesquely tiny body and a gigantic head, wearing a crown emblazoned with the names of the industrial concerns he owned. Rockefeller's head has been replaced with that of Mark Zuckerberg's metaverse avatar. The names of the industrial concerns have been replaced with the wordmarks for Scale AI, Instagram, Oculus and Whatsapp. The dollar-sign at the crown's pinnacle has been replaced with the Facebook 'f' logo. The chain around Rockefeller's neck sports the charm that Mark Zuckerberg now wears around his neck.

The long game (permalink)

Well, this fucking sucks. A federal judge has decided that Meta is not a monopolist, and that its acquisitions of Instagram and Whatsapp were not an illegal bid to secure and maintain a monopoly:

https://gizmodo.com/meta-learns-that-nothing-is-a-monopoly-if-you-just-wait-long-enough-2000687691

This is particularly galling because Mark Zuckerberg repeatedly, explicitly declared that these mergers were undertaken to reduce competition, which is the only circumstance in which pro-monopoly economists and lawyers say that mergers should be blocked.

Let me take a step back here. During the Reagan years, a new economic orthodoxy took hold, a weird combination of economic theory and conspiracy theory that held that:

a) It was bad economic policy to try and prevent monopolization, since monopolies are "efficient" and arise because companies are so totally amazing that we all voluntarily buy their products and pay for their services and;

b) The anti-monopoly laws on the books are actually pro-monopoly laws, and if you look at them just right, you'll find that what Congress really intended was for monopolies to be nurtured and protected:

https://pluralistic.net/2022/02/20/we-should-not-endure-a-king/

The one exception these monsters of history were willing to make to their pro-monopoly posture was this: if a corporation undertakes a merger because they are seeking a monopoly, then the government should step in and stop them. This is a great standard to come up with if what you really want to do is nothing, because how can you know why a company truly wants to buy another company? Who can ever claim to know what is in another person's heart?

This is a great wheeze if you want to allow as many monopolies as possible, unless the guy who's trying to get that monopoly is Mark Zuckerberg, because Zuck is a man who has never had a criminal intention he did not immediately put to writing and email to someone else.

This is the guy who put in writing the immortal words, "It is better to buy than to compete," and "what we’re really buying is time," and who described his plans to clone a competitor's features as intended to get there "before anyone can get close to their scale again":

https://www.theverge.com/2020/7/29/21345723/facebook-instagram-documents-emails-mark-zuckerberg-kevin-systrom-hearing

Basically, Zuck is the guy who works until 2:30 every night, and then, before turning in, sends some key executive a fully discoverable, immortally backed-up digital message that reads, "Hey Bob, you know that guy we were thinking about killing? Well, I've decided we should do it. And for avoidance of doubt, it's 100% a murder, and right now, at this moment, I am premeditating it."

And despite this wealth of evidence as to Zuckerberg's intention at the time, US regulators at the FTC and EU regulators at the Commission both waved through those mergers, as well as many other before and since. Because it turns out that in the pro-monopoly world, there are no bright lines, no mergers so nakedly corrupt that they should be prevented. All that stuff about using state power to prevent deliberate monopolization was always and forever just bullshit. In the pro-monopoly camp, all monopolies are warmly welcome.

It wasn't always this way. In the trustbusting era, enforcers joined with organized labor and activists fighting for all kinds of human rights, from universal sufferage to ending Jim Crow, to smash corporate power. Foundational to this fight was the understanding that concentrated corporate power presented a serious danger: first, because of the way that it could corrupt our political process, and second, because of the difficulty of dislodging corporate power once it had been established.

In other words, trustbusters sought to prevent monopolies, not merely to break up monopolies once they were formed. They understood that a company that was too big to fail would also be too big to jail, and that impunity rotted societies from within.

Then came the project to dismantle antitrust and revive the monopolies. Corporatists from the University of Chicago School of Economics and their ultra-wealthy backers launched a multipronged attack on economics, law, and precedent. It was a successful bid to bring back oligarchy and establish a new class of modern aristocracy, whose dynastic fortunes would ensure their rule and the rule of their descendants for generations to come.

A key part of this was an attack on the judiciary. Like other professionals, federal judges are expected to undergo regular "ongoing education" to ensure they're current on the best practices in their field. Wealthy pro-monopolists bankrolled a series of junkets for judges called the "Manne Seminars," all-expenses-paid family trips to luxury resorts, where judges could be indoctrinated with the theory of "efficient monopolies":

https://pluralistic.net/2021/08/13/post-bork-era/#manne-down

40% of all federal judges attended a Manne Seminar, and empirical studies show that after graduating, these judges changed the way they ruled, to favor monopolies:

https://academic.oup.com/qje/advance-article/doi/10.1093/qje/qjaf042/8241352?login=false

The terrible beauty of this strategy is that you don't need to get all the judges into a Manne Seminar – you just need to get enough judges to attend that they will create a wall of precedent that every other judge will feel hemmed in by when they rule on antitrust cases. Those judgments further shore-up the pro-monopoly precedent, setting the stage for the next pro-monopoly judgment, and the next, and the next.

So here we are, a couple generations into the project to brainwash judges, monopolize the economy and establish a new aristocracy, and a judge just ruled that Meta isn't an illegal monopoly, even though Mark Zuckerberg literally put his explicit criminal intent in writing.

What are we to do? Should we despair? Does this mean it's all over?

Not hardly. Reversing 40+ years of pro-monopoly policy was always going to be a slog, with many setbacks on the way. That's why antitrust has historically sought to prevent monopolies. Once monopolies have conquered your economy, getting rid of them is far harder, or, as the joke from eastern Canada goes, "If you wanted to get there, I wouldn't start from here."

But you have to play the ball where it lies. The fact that Meta can deliberately set out to create a monopoly and still evade judgment is more reason to fight monopolies, not less – it's (more) evidence of just how corrupted and illegitimate our judicial system has become.

We've been here before. The first antitrust laws were passed to do the hard work of smashing existing monopolies, not the relatively easy task of preventing monopolization. Of course: before there is a law, there has to be a crime. Antitrust law was passed because of a monopoly problem, not as a pro-active measure to prevent the problem from arising.

Our forbears smashed monopolies that were, if anything, far more ferocious than Big Tech. They vanquished oligarchs whose perfidy and ruthlessness put today's ketamine-addled zuckermuskian mediocrities in the shade. How they did it is not a mystery: they just put in the hard yards of building coalitions and winning public sentiment.

They did it before and we can do it again. We know how it's done. We remember their names and what they did. Take Ida Tarbell, the slayer of John D Rockefeller and Standard Oil. Tarbell was a brilliant, fierce writer and orator, fearless and brilliant. She was the first woman in America to get a science degree, and a key driver of the movement for universal suffrage. But in addition to all that, she was an anti-monopolist.

Tarbell's father was a Pennsylvania oil man who'd been ruined by Rockefeller and Standard Oil. Determined to see him avenged, Tarbell researched the many tendrils of Rockefeller's empire and his devious tactics, and laid them bare in a pair of wildly successful serialized books, The History of the Standard Oil Company, Volumes I & II (published first in the popular national magazine Collier's):

https://pluralistic.net/2021/06/13/a-monopoly-isnt-the-same-as-legitimate-greatness/

Tarbell's History changed the way the country saw Rockefeller. She punctured his myth of brilliance and competence, and showed how he owed his fortune to swindling and cheating. She cut him down to size. She was a key figure in the American trustbusting movement, a catalyst for the revolution that saw Rockefeller and his fellow oligarchs overthrown.

This took a hell of a long time. The Sherman Act (which was used to break up Standard Oil) was passed in 1890, but Standard Oil wasn't broken up until 1912. It took perseverance through setback after setback, it took the compounding tragedies that drove people to question the order and demand change, and it took unglamorous organizing and dramatic street-fights to escape from oligarchy's powerful gravity well.

Today, we are back at square one, but we have advantages that Tarbell and the other trustbusters lacked. For one thing, we have them, the lessons of their fight and the inspiration of their victory. For another, we have the political wind at our back. All over the world, from China to Canada, from the EU to the USA, politicians have felt emboldened (or forced) to launch anti-monopoly efforts the likes of which have not been seen since the Carter administration:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/08/09/elite-disunity/#awoken-giants

What's more, these enforcers aren't alone – they can and do collaborate. Because these tech companies run the same swindles in every country in the world, enforcers can collaborate on building cases against them. After all the facts of Big Tech's crimes are virtually identical, whether you're in the UK, Singapore, South Korea, Canada or Germany:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/01/22/autocrats-of-trade/#dingo-babysitter

This is an advantage that the trustbusters who took down Rockefeller could only dream of. Like Big Tech, Rockefeller had a global empire, but unlike Big Tech, Rockefeller abused each of the nations of the world in distinct ways. In America, Rockefeller ran the refineries and pipelines; in Germany, he had a stranglehold on the ports.

Even if the Rockefeller-era trustbusters wanted to collaborate, sending memos back and forth across the Atlantic by zeppelin, all they could offer each other was warm wishes. US pipeline investigations had nothing to add to German port investigations.

Today's tech monopolists may be bigger than any one government, but they're not bigger than all the governments whose people they're abusing.

The trustbusters who brought down Rockefeller did something knowable and repeatable. Their work did not arise out of the lost arts of a fallen civilization. The work of taking down today's monopolists requires only that we recover our ancestors' moral fire and perseverance. No one needs to figure out how to build a pyramid without power tools or embalm a Pharaoh.

We merely have to build and sustain a global movement to destroy oligarchy.

(Merely!)

Yes, that's a hell of a big lift. But we're not alone. There are billions of people who suffer under oligarchy and an infinite variety of ways to erode its power, as a prelude to smashing that power. Our allies in antitrust include the voters who put Zohran Mamdani into office, going from less than 1% in the polls to a commanding majority in a three-way race, running on an anti-oligarch platform:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/06/28/mamdani/#trustbusting

(No coincidence that one of our most effective fighters is now co-leading Mamdani's transition team):

https://pluralistic.net/2025/11/15/unconscionability/#standalone-authority

Trustbusting alone will not end oligarchy and trustbusters alone cannot break up the monopolies. As with the original trustbusters, the modern trustbusting movement is but a part of a coalition that wants a world organized around the needs of the many, not the few.


Hey look at this (permalink)



A shelf of leatherbound history books with a gilt-stamped series title, 'The World's Famous Events.'

Object permanence (permalink)

#20yrsago Brit backpackers take Indian call-centre jobs https://web.archive.org/web/20051210103452/http://wiredblogs.tripod.com/sterling/index.blog?entry_id=1284171

#20yrsago Laser etching doesn’t necessarily void your warranty https://web.archive.org/web/20051126194823/http://www.makezine.com/blog/archive/2005/11/will_laser_etching_apple_gear.html

#20yrsago UCLA to MPAA shill: ARRRRRRR! https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-2005-nov-18-fi-glickman18-story.html

#20yrsago RIAA prez: Lots of companies secretly install rootkits! It’s no biggie! https://web.archive.org/web/20051125041201/http://www.malbela.com/blog/archives/000375.html

#20yrsago Sony offers MP3s in replacement for rootkit CDs https://web.archive.org/web/20051124233458/https://www.upsrow.com/sonybmg/

#15yrsago TSA forces cancer survivor to remove prosthetic breast https://web.archive.org/web/20101120213044/http://www.wbtv.com/Global/story.asp?S=13534628

#15yrsago How the Victorians wiped their bums https://web.archive.org/web/20101123191021/http://wellcomelibrary.blogspot.com/2010/11/item-of-month-november-2010-victorian.html

#15yrsago Understanding the “microcredit crisis” in Andhra Pradesh https://web.archive.org/web/20101119012652/https://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2010/11/18/the-lessons-of-andhra-pradesh/

#15yrsago Canadian Heritage Minister inadvertently damns his own copyright bill https://web.archive.org/web/20101121054805/https://www.michaelgeist.ca/content/view/5456/125/

#15yrsago TSA confiscates heavily-armed soldiers’ nail-clippers https://redstate.com/erick/2010/11/18/another-tsa-outrage-n37064

#15yrsago Chris McKitterick pirates his own book https://mckitterick.livejournal.com/653743.html

#15yrsago Chinese woman kidnapped to labor camp on her wedding day over sarcastic re-Tweet https://web.archive.org/web/20120609051421/http://voices.washingtonpost.com/blog-post/2010/11/chinese_twitter_sentence_a_yea.html

#15yrsago RuneScape devs refuse to cave in to patent trolls https://web.archive.org/web/20101119012943/http://www.gamasutra.com/view/news/31597/UKBased_RuneScape_Dev_Jagex_Wins_Patent_Infringement_Lawsuit.php

#10yrsago Manhattan DA calls for backdoors in all mobile operating systems https://web.archive.org/web/20151120003032/https://manhattanda.org/sites/default/files/11.18.15

#10yrsago Watching paint dry: epic crowfunded troll of the UK film censorship board https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/charlielyne/make-the-censors-watch-paint-drying?ref=video

#10yrsago CEOs are lucky, tall men https://hbr.org/2015/11/are-successful-ceos-just-lucky

#10yrsago America’s CEOs and hedge funds are starving the nation’s corporations to death https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/usa-buybacks-cannibalized/

#10yrsago EU official: all identified Paris attackers were from the EU https://web.archive.org/web/20151116223023/https://thinkprogress.org/world/2015/11/16/3722838/all-paris-attackers-identified-so-far-are-european-nationals-according-to-top-eu-official/

#10yrsago The Web is pretty great with Javascript turned off https://www.wired.com/2015/11/i-turned-off-javascript-for-a-whole-week-and-it-was-glorious/

#10yrsago If the Paris attackers weren’t using cryptography, the next ones will, and so should you https://insidesources.com/new-york-times-article-blaming-encryption-paris-attacks/

#10yrsago Zero: the number of security experts Ted Koppel consulted for hysterical cyberwar book https://www.techdirt.com/2015/11/19/ted-koppel-writes-entire-book-about-how-hackers-will-take-down-our-electric-grid-never-spoke-to-any-experts/

#10yrsago How a paid FBI informant created a terror plot that sent an activist to jail for 9 years https://theintercept.com/2015/11/19/an-fbi-informant-seduced-eric-mcdavid-into-a-bomb-plot-then-the-government-lied-about-it/

#10yrsago Google steps up to defend fair use, will fund Youtubers’ legal defenses https://publicpolicy.googleblog.com/2015/11/a-step-toward-protecting-fair-use-on.html?m=1

#10yrsago Alan Moore’s advice to unpublished authors https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CuaWu2uhmRQ

#10yrsago Private funding of public services is bankrupting the UK https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/nhs/11748960/The-PFI-hospitals-costing-NHS-2bn-every-year.html

#10yrsago The US government turned down Anne Frank’s visa application https://www.reuters.com/article/2007/02/14/us-annefrank-letters-idUSN1430569220070214/#HmyajvjLmsX2tVYf.97

#10yrsago Seriously, try “view source” on google.com https://xkcd.com/1605/#10yrsago

#5yrsago Tyson execs bet on covid spread in unsafe plant https://pluralistic.net/2020/11/19/disneymustpay/#you-bet-your-life

#5yrsago Disney stiffs writer https://pluralistic.net/2020/11/19/disneymustpay/#disneymustpay

#5yrsago Cyberpunk and Post-Cyberpunk https://pluralistic.net/2020/11/19/disneymustpay/#asl

#5yrsago Canada's GDPR https://pluralistic.net/2020/11/18/always-get-their-rationalisation/#consent

#5yrsago Telehealth chickenizes docs https://pluralistic.net/2020/11/18/always-get-their-rationalisation/#telehealth

#5yrsago The Mounties lied about social surveillance https://pluralistic.net/2020/11/18/always-get-their-rationalisation/#rcmp

#5yrsago Race, surveillance and tech https://pluralistic.net/2020/11/18/always-get-their-rationalisation/#asl

#1yrago Harpercollins wants authors to sign away AI training rights https://pluralistic.net/2024/11/18/rights-without-power/#careful-what-you-wish-for

#1yrago Forcing Google to spin off Chrome (and Android?) https://pluralistic.net/2024/11/19/breaking-up-is-hard-to-do/#shiny-and-chrome


Upcoming appearances (permalink)

A photo of me onstage, giving a speech, pounding the podium.



A screenshot of me at my desk, doing a livecast.

Recent appearances (permalink)



A grid of my books with Will Stahle covers..

Latest books (permalink)



A cardboard book box with the Macmillan logo.

Upcoming books (permalink)

  • "Unauthorized Bread": a middle-grades graphic novel adapted from my novella about refugees, toasters and DRM, FirstSecond, 2026
  • "Enshittification, Why Everything Suddenly Got Worse and What to Do About It" (the graphic novel), Firstsecond, 2026

  • "The Memex Method," Farrar, Straus, Giroux, 2026

  • "The Reverse-Centaur's Guide to AI," a short book about being a better AI critic, Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2026



Colophon (permalink)

Today's top sources:

Currently writing:

  • "The Reverse Centaur's Guide to AI," a short book for Farrar, Straus and Giroux about being an effective AI critic. FIRST DRAFT COMPLETE AND SUBMITTED.
  • A Little Brother short story about DIY insulin PLANNING


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(no subject)

Nov. 19th, 2025 02:48 pm
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Good afternoon, everyone!

I’m currently running a massive sale in an attempt to drum up funds so that I can continue regularly producing JL8, and as promised, today I’m opening up discounted commissions! I’m offering single characters for $125USD (down from $150) and two characters for $250USD (down from $300), and on top of that, I’m guaranteeing Christmas delivery! Get a custom drawing at a discounted rate to help fund more of a comic you like? Seems like a win to me.

Beyond that, I’m still offering 50% off all mass produced items with code SAVE50 and 30% off original art with code SAVE30. Due to the already discounted prices in the listing, commissions are excluded from these codes.

You can place your order in my shop, and I’d deeply appreciate likes, comments and shares in an effort to get this post in front of as many folks as possible. Thank you so much for all of your support!

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Posted by Nat Wilson Turner

The practitioners of Hasbara are desperately ratcheting up their control of American corporate and social media and with Oracle's Larry Ellison suddenly tapped out, are reportedly seeking funding from the Arab Gulf states to help.

The Making of the MAGA Right

Nov. 19th, 2025 11:45 am
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Posted by KLG

As the old baseball saying goes, sometimes “You can’t tell the players without a scorecard.”  This became especially true since Curt Flood opened the floodgates to free agency more than fifty years ago when he refused to be treated as disposable property by the owner of the St. Louis Cardinals, one August A. Busch, Jr.  […]

Will AI Make Us Stupid?

Nov. 18th, 2025 10:19 pm
[syndicated profile] scott_h_young_feed

Posted by Scott Young

I’ve been thinking a lot about how AI is going to affect the future of learning. If you’re just arriving, I’ve previously written about which sorts of skills will matter in an AI future and vibe coding as a possible model of what’s to come for skilled work.

One of my tentative conclusions is that a lot of future work is going to look like AI collaboration. People will work with AI to do some of their job tasks, but until we have robust artificial general intelligence (AGI), there will be plenty of human beings steering AI and filling in the tasks that AI doesn’t yet perform well.

This suggests a follow-up question: how do we learn good AI collaboration skills, and how does that differ from learning in the previous era when the entire job was performed by people?

To skip to the punchline, I believe that the shift to AI collaboration doesn’t change as much about the path to mastery as you might guess. Getting good at AI collaboration is largely the same as getting good at doing the work yourself. 

However, despite the similarity of the learning path, the skills used in practice with and without AI differ enough that overusing AI when learning a new skill presents a serious problem. I do believe AI can be a boon for learning, but there is also enormous capacity for misuse. I expect that the average user will end up learning much less, rather than more, as a consequence.

Consider the Calculator

While AI is new, automation is not. For centuries, we’ve been using machines to replace human labor, and for decades we’ve been using computers to replace human cognition.

Therefore, while it’s hard to predict the specific trajectory of large language models and machine learning progress, we already have examples of technology taking over a previous human cognitive skill and the implications of that.

To start, consider the calculator.

Before cheap calculators, it was expected that every adult could mentally calculate a tip, confirm that change was correct from a cash purchase or compare prices at a grocery store.

While some interesting anthropological work suggests that people often rely on informal heuristics rather textbook algorithms to do these calculations, nobody doubted that the average person needed basic math skills to get by in society.

For decades, however, we’ve been able to calculate things quickly and easily without needing to do the math. I’ve very rarely used long division since learning it in grade school, and I usually just use a calculator if I need to solve a multi-digit division problem. Today, cashiers are told exactly what change to provide, and the amount of tip is calculated for you on your bill.

Given that, why bother learning to do the math with a pencil and paper? Why learn long division if, in practice, we rarely use it?

A version of this argument was quite popular in educational research in the 1980s. It argued that many academic math skills aren’t used in practice, so perhaps we should teach kids to use calculators rather than waste years of their lives mastering mental calculations they’ll never use.

The impression I got from the literature when researching Get Better at Anything is that this argument is pretty much dead today.1

Why, in a world of easily-accessible calculators, do most educational experts still insist on teaching students arithmetic?

The simplest reason is that mental math doesn’t just build up fluency in performing the algorithms; it becomes the raw material for building mental models and quantitative understanding. In other words, even if you don’t use the long division algorithm, your grade school practice on it helped you develop the idea of what division is and how it works, and that intuition is powerful—even if you mostly rely on a calculator.2

Information in an external source, like a book or a calculator, is not the same as information stored in your long-term memory.

Case in point: Wikipedia has made much of the world’s knowledge more broadly accessible than at any point in history. But people today aren’t far more knowledgeable than we were before its invention. Knowledge is dead if it’s not in your head.

I take the near-universal retention of basic math in most elementary curricula, despite widespread availability of calculators, as essentially confirming a basic point: just because a machine can perform a skill better than a person does not mean it is not worth learning. Very often, learning skills that are automated in practice is a necessary stepping stone to cultivating uniquely human skills.

Learning with AI: Wall or Ladder?

This brings us to AI: given that AI can already do a lot of basic cognitive work, and that AI collaboration is a likely model for many kinds of knowledge work in the future, how should you invest in your own skills?

The answer, I believe, is not too different from before: if you want to learn to code, you need to start by creating programs by hand. Relying on ChatGPT will deprive you of the ability to internalize mental models of how code works, think through programming problems and otherwise develop your “taste” for good code.

Similarly, AI translation will prevent you from learning to speak another language, AI summaries will block you from really understanding the arguments laid out in a book, and AI analyses of your personal problems will make it harder for you to think through solutions to your own problems. 

Learning is the process of internalizing information and weaving it together into coherent mental models and interconnected webs of ideas. Learning requires an investment of effort, and AI will make us stupider if that effort is avoided.

At the same time, not all effort in learning is helpful. Much of learning involves cognition that does not directly contribute to understanding and knowledge. Think of learning like powering a motor—all learning requires a source of energy to make progress, but not all energy is transformed into forward motion. Depending on the vehicle, much of it might be wasted as heat and noise.

Therefore, while I think AI is probably going to result in an incredible “dumbing down” of our self-education in the average case, it is probably also going to enable more careful students and teachers to facilitate learning much better than before. Because while AI can simply solve a problem for you, it can also generate worked examples, practice problems and feedback, and guide problem-solving dialog.

Getting this balance right is hard, and I don’t think it’s simply a matter of laziness. Even intelligent students are often wrong about what effort actually matters when it comes to learning, and many teachers are no better. This has always been the case, but AI has raised the stakes as the ability both to enhance learning and to bypass it entirely have expanded.

Thus my personal prediction is that in domains that are already largely under the powers of modern AI, such as languages, programming or chess, we’re going to see a divergence in human abilities. The average person will rely on the AI more, robbing them of the ability to learn the underlying skills. More sophisticated students will use AI to learn better, removing inefficiencies that were unavoidable in pre-AI learning environments.

Some evidence of this is already emerging: preliminary results from AI tutoring have been quite impressive, even garnering enthusiasm from experts who are otherwise skeptical about the previous eras of ed tech and their numerous failures. At the same time, many educators are sounding the alarm on a crash in student aptitude, with UCSD needing to redesign a remedial math course when it was discovered that many of the students were not only failing at high-school math skills, but they couldn’t even perform skills taught in middle and elementary grades.

In some ways, the future I imagined in Ultralearning is accelerating, with technology amplifying the opportunity to learn—as well as the danger of learning nothing at all.

The post Will AI Make Us Stupid? appeared first on Scott H Young.

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charlesnaismith

December 2024

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